Browsing Brage INN by Author "Sirota, Miroslav"

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Climate scientists' wide prediction intervals may be more likely but are perceived to be less certain

Løhre, Erik; Juanchich, Marie; Sirota, Miroslav; Teigen, Karl Halvor; Shepherd, Theodore G. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019)

The use of interval forecasts allows climate scientists to issue predictions with high levels of certainty even for areas fraught with uncertainty, since wide intervals are objectively more likely to capture the truth than ...