Browsing Artikkel - fagfellevurdert vitenskapelig / Articles - peer-reviewed by Journals "Weather, Climate, and Society"
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Climate scientists' wide prediction intervals may be more likely but are perceived to be less certain
(Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019)The use of interval forecasts allows climate scientists to issue predictions with high levels of certainty even for areas fraught with uncertainty, since wide intervals are objectively more likely to capture the truth than ...